Paid crew β today's full Frank Matrix and Ciaran Notes are up, and neither guy is pretending this late sequence is easy.
π TODAY'S MARK EnSIGHT
The model says βchallenging sequence.β
Frank says βI need market signals.β
Ciaran says βwatch the probables.β
Mark Gelding translation: We have absolutely no business going to dinner early.
π₯ FRANK'S LATE PICK 3 MATRIX
Race 8 β A: 1, 3, 8, 5
Race 9 β A: 2, 6, 9
Race 10 β A: 4, 13(AE), 9, 8
$3 Late Pick 3:
1,3,8,5 / 2,6,9 / 4,13(AE),9,8 = $144
Backup $3 Late Pick 3:
1 / 1,8,10 / 4,13(AE) = $18
TOTAL POTENTIAL: $162
Frank's warning is important: these are NOT FINAL. Race 10 revolves heavily around whether the #13 Let It Begin draws in. If she gets into the field, Frank calls her the one to beat despite the plunge in class.
π£ CIARAN'S PRICE HUNT
Race 4: #7 Kerry Gold β value/longshot radar.
Race 8: #5 Tariff at 12-1 is buried in the mix despite the ugly recent form and class drop.
Race 9: #10 Sir Rocket at 6-1 β bad post, but a major jockey upgrade and a race shape that could give him something to close into.
Race 10: #8 List My Biz at 12-1 is another live bomb candidate in a race Ciaran essentially describes as...
not exactly the Breeders' Cup Classic. π
π NUMBERS WORTH KNOWING
π Race 8: 7 of 11 favorites have won this condition, all below 5-1.
π± Race 9 turf sprint: favorites win around 35%, while horses in the 5-1 to 10-1 range account for 41% in Ciaran's tracking.
π Race 9 #10 Sir Rocket: Ciaran notes the post has produced only 29 wins from 314 starters β 9.2% since last year.
π₯ Rosario: Frank notes another three-win Saturday and says he moved within two wins of J.J. in the rider standings, 24-22.
π O'Neill: Frank has him well clear in the trainer race with 17 wins versus 9 for D'Amato.
π₯ DOUBLE TROUBLE LIVE β 5:25 PM PDT
This is one of those days where the PDF gets you to the battlefield β
but the probables and will-pays decide where we actually shoot.
Final tickets will be discussed LIVE.
π΅ CIARAN'S LATE ACTION
$3 All Turf β Races 4, 7, 9
3,5,6,7,1,8 / 7 / 8,10,1,6,4,8 = $108
$3 Pick 3 β Races 8, 9, 10
Main combination: 9,5,1,8 / 8,10,1,6,4,8 / 13,9,10,2,8
Pressed ticket:
9,5,1,8 / 8 / 13,9,10,2,8 = $60
$5 Late Double:
$20 β 8 / 13 = $20
$10 β 8 / 9,10,2,8 = $40
β οΈ DO NOT BLINDLY FIRE THESE TICKETS AT 10:00 AM
Both Frank and Ciaran specifically want to see scratches, bias, probables and will-pays before finalizing the late wagers.
Today's mission: survive the chaos, find the live prices, and try not to hear Ciaran say
βI told you that 12-1 shot was liveβ after the race.
See you at 5:25 PM PDT.
β Double Trouble Live
Watch Before You Bet.